Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Mats Rosenkranz		Oliver Tarvet

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.52
	2.44	1.49	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.11)	1.5 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mats Rosenkranz
38.4%

Oliver Tarvet
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mats Rosenkranz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mats Rosenkranz's form might have worsened.

Oliver Tarvet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oliver Tarvet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Tarvet than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Mats Rosenkranz - Oliver Tarvet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenkranz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mats Rosenkranz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 285. Tarvet is ranked ATP: 369.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Rosenkranz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tarvet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
30.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Andres Martin - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Mats Rosenkranz	Thompson J. retired ✺
22.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWL?W
- Oliver Tarvet
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Oliver Tarvet - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Oliver Tarvet	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Martin Damm - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW

Mats Rosenkranz - Oliver Tarvet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide