Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Rinky Hijikata		Mats Rosenkranz

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	2.6
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.72)	2.48 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
62.6%

Mats Rosenkranz
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rinky Hijikata's performance.

Mats Rosenkranz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mats Rosenkranz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rinky Hijikata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mats Rosenkranz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rinky Hijikata - Mats Rosenkranz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hijikata will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rosenkranz will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 119. Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 285.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Hijikata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hijikata could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rinky Hijikata - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.68%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Samir Banerjee - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL
- Mats Rosenkranz
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Andres Martin - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Mats Rosenkranz	Thompson J. retired ✺
22.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Justin Boulais - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WL?WW

Rinky Hijikata - Mats Rosenkranz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide