Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Eastbourne 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Matteo Arnaldi		Alastair Gray

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.75
	1.46	2.60
	1.46	2.83
	1.47	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	2.67 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
64.9%

Alastair Gray
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Arnaldi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alastair Gray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Matteo Arnaldi - Alastair Gray Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gray will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gray (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Gray (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gray (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 34. Gray is ranked ATP: 270.

Arnaldi is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gray has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arnaldi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Roland Garros
05.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. Walkover ✺
03.06.26	Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi	Berrettini M. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Raphael Collignon	3:2 ✺
28.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 ??WWW
- Alastair Gray
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	James Watt - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Henry Jefferson - Alastair Gray	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	Filippo Romano - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Edward Winter - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Luciano Darderi - Matteo Arnaldi	✺

Matteo Arnaldi - Alastair Gray: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide