Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.79	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.92	1.92
	1.8	1.91
	1.85	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.67)	1.92 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
51.3%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Arnaldi's form might have worsened.

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cedrik-Marcel Stebe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Arnaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Matteo Arnaldi - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Stebe will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
02.09.22	Nerman Fatic - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
31.08.22	Giovanni Oradini - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
30.08.22	Vitaliy Sachko - Matteo Arnaldi	Sachko V. retired ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
25.08.22	Gilles Simon - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WW?LW
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
02.09.22	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Kenny De Schepper	2:0 ✺
01.09.22	Lucas Gerch - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
29.08.22	Mirza Basic - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
25.08.22	Gabriel Diallo - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
24.08.22	Ulises Blanch - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW

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