Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Zverev		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.52	2.49	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.55)	2.45 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
61.2%

Matteo Berrettini
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Berrettini will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 56% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 34.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zverev won 3.

Recent matches Zverev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berrettini is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zverev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zverev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Zverev won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Miami
26.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
08.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	0:3
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.21	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired
ATP Madrid
09.05.21	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
ATP Shanghai
12.10.19	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Roma
14.05.19	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
16.05.18	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2

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