Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Andy Murray		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.82	Watch
	2.04	1.85
	2.04	1.85
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.22)	1.79 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andy Murray
46.8%

Matteo Berrettini
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andy Murray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.1%	0%	46.9%

Andy Murray - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Murray will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). Berrettini will win (votes: 15 - 46.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Murray: 35.8% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Murray is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berrettini is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Berrettini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murray won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andy Murray
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Andrey Rublev - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Andy Murray - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Denis Shapovalov - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
21.02.24	Andy Murray - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Nuno Borges - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Matteo Berrettini - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Matteo Berrettini - Andy Murray	2:3
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Andy Murray - Matteo Berrettini	1:3
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.22	Andy Murray - Matteo Berrettini	1:2
ATP London
17.06.21	Matteo Berrettini - Andy Murray	2:0
ATP Beijing
01.10.19	Andy Murray - Matteo Berrettini	2:0

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