Match Info

Date: 25 August 2020, Tuesday


	Matteo Berrettini		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.68	2.36
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)	2.39 ↓ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
60.2%

Reilly Opelka
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Berrettini's form might have worsened.

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reilly Opelka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58%	0%	42%

Matteo Berrettini - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 29 - 58%). Opelka will win (votes: 21 - 42%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 44.3% – 71.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berrettini is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Opelka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Opelka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Berrettini will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Cincinnati
24.08.20	Matteo Berrettini - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Bett1 Aces Berlin Men
15.07.20	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
14.07.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
12.07.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:3 ✺
12.07.20	Matteo Berrettini - Richard Gasquet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWW
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Cincinnati
24.08.20	Reilly Opelka - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
22.08.20	Cameron Norrie - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
Exhibition All-American Cup Men
05.07.20	Sam Querrey - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
04.07.20	John Isner - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
03.07.20	Steve Johnson - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WW??L

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