Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.6
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.36	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.23)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
40.1%

Matteo Berrettini
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 15 - 39.5%). Berrettini will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 45% – 76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 11. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 30.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 3.

Recent matches Tsitsipas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berrettini is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tsitsipas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Berrettini will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Gael Monfils - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Novak Djokovic - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
20.07.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Australian Open
14.01.24	Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled
ATP United Cup
07.01.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
ATP Roma
13.05.21	Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Australian Open
15.02.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	Tsitsipas S. walkover
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
12.07.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	2:3
04.07.20	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini	3:2

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