Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.82	1.3
	3.54	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.53	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.51)	1.3 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
26.7%

Matteo Berrettini
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Berrettini will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 85. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 90.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bautista-Agut won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bautista-Agut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Berrettini is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bautista-Agut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	James Duckworth - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Alexander Bublik - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Matteo Berrettini - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cup
05.02.21	Matteo Berrettini - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
Exhibition Bett1 Aces Berlin Men
14.07.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	1:2
Exhibition Thiems Seven Men
11.07.20	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
08.07.20	Matteo Berrettini - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Shanghai
10.10.19	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Munich
05.05.19	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Doha
31.12.18	Matteo Berrettini - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide