Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PARMA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 June 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: PARMA (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Riccardo Bonadio		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.09	1.77
	2.03	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.17)	1.75 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riccardo Bonadio
46.5%

Luciano Darderi
53.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riccardo Bonadio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Riccardo Bonadio - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bonadio will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Darderi will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonadio: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonadio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darderi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Darderi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bonadio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
30.05.23	Nino Serdarusic - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	James Duckworth - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
12.06.23	Alexandre Muller - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
05.06.23	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
29.05.23	Luciano Darderi - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Facundo Bagnis - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.10.21	Riccardo Bonadio - Luciano Darderi	1:2

Riccardo Bonadio - Luciano Darderi