Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Pavel Kotov		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.46	2.65
	1.51	2.55
	1.49	2.69
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.39	2.82	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)	2.59 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
63.8%

Matteo Gigante
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pavel Kotov's performance.

Matteo Gigante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Gigante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Pavel Kotov - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: Pavel Kotov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Gigante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Christopher OConnell - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
06.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
04.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWW?
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
06.04.23	Franco Agamenone - Matteo Gigante	Gigante M. retired ✺
03.04.23	Miljan Zekic - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
27.03.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Matteo Gigante - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?WLLW

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