Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Matteo Martineau		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.43)	2.15 ↓ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
57%

Antoine Ghibaudo
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antoine Ghibaudo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antoine Ghibaudo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matteo Martineau - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Martineau (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 350. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 340.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Martineau will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
01.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Matteo Martineau - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWW
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
23.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Timeo Trufelli	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Loann Massard	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Jack Kennedy	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Matteo Martineau - Antoine Ghibaudo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide