Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NAPLES 3 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Matteo Martineau		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	3.34	1.34
	3.34	1.34
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.66	1.26	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.36)	1.31 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
28.1%

Luca Nardi
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	0%	32%

Matteo Martineau - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Nardi will win (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martineau: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Martineau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nardi is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Martineau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
28.03.24	Matteo Martineau - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Nino Serdarusic - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Chun Hsin Tseng - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Alessandro Giannessi - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Mate Valkusz - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Luca Nardi - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Novak Djokovic - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.05.22	Luca Nardi - Matteo Martineau	0:2

Matteo Martineau - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide