Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NAPLES 3 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Jozef Kovalik		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.44	1.61
	2.44	1.61
	2.38	1.53
	2.33	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.39)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
40.3%

Luca Nardi
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Jozef Kovalik - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovalik in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nardi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nardi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kovalik to win the game is with odds 2.37.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Jonas Forejtek - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Nino Serdarusic	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Jozef Kovalik - Evan Furness	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Luca Nardi - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
11.03.24	Novak Djokovic - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
05.03.24	Luca Nardi - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Jozef Kovalik - Luca Nardi	1:2

Jozef Kovalik - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide