Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Jakub Mensik		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.23	4.63
	1.22	4.20	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	4.13 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
77%

Luca Nardi
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Nardi (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nardi (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 17. Nardi is ranked ATP: 98.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mensik is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mensik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Tristan Boyer - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Jakub Mensik	3:0 ✺
03.07.25	Marcos Giron - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Luca Nardi - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Luca Nardi - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Luca Nardi - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Luca Nardi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
18.03.24	Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi	2:0

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