Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Martineau		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.63	1.49
	2.65	1.46	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.21)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
36%

Luca Van Assche
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Martineau will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 263. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 157.

Martineau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Van Assche is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Van Assche will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Martineau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.08%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Dan Added - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
21.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Viktor Durasovic	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Clement Chidekh - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 W?LWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Hugo Grenier - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche	0:2
ATP Challenger
03.07.22	Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche	0:2

Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide