Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday


	Luca Van Assche		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.81	2.06
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	2.02 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
53.5%

Murphy Cassone
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Cassone will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cassone: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 154. Cassone is ranked ATP: 248.

Recent matches Van Assche is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cassone is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cassone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Van Assche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
12.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Luca Van Assche	Sonego L. walkover ✺
11.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWL?W
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Richard Berankis - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Alexey Vatutin	Cassone M. walkover ✺
23.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2

Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide