Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brest, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brest 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Matteo Martineau		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.80	1.41
	2.8	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.41
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.51)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
33.5%

Otto Virtanen
66.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Matteo Martineau - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 243., and Virtanen is ranked ATP: 121..

In recent outings, Martineau has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Virtanen is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Martineau may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Virtanen is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Martineau has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.26%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Thijs Boogaard - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Mika Brunold	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Etienne Donnet - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Lyon
18.10.26	Otto Virtanen - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Remy Bertola - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Otto Virtanen	0:2
23.10.24	Otto Virtanen - Matteo Martineau	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Otto Virtanen	✺

Matteo Martineau - Otto Virtanen