Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Otto Virtanen		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.30	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.15	Watch
	1.3	3.27	Watch
	1.22	4.2
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.18)	3.43 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
72.8%

Tiago Pereira
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Otto Virtanen's form might have worsened.

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiago Pereira's recent form is better than expected.

Otto Virtanen - Tiago Pereira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 103., and Pereira is ranked ATP: 332..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Pereira may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Virtanen for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Tiago Pereira - the odds 4.35 are the expected chance of winning is 21.35%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Otto Virtanen - Lucas Catarina	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Andrey Rublev	2:3 ✺
27.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. win ✺
26.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWL?W
- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
20.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Pavlo Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Filip Pieczonka	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWL

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