Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.90
	1.34	3.15
	1.34	3.05	Watch
	1.37	3.15
	1.34	2.99	Watch
	1.35	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.62)	3.06 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
69.4%

Matteo Martineau
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's performance.

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Martineau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolai Budkov Kjaer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Martineau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 152., and Martineau is ranked ATP: 272..

Budkov Kjaer has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Martineau have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Budkov Kjaer for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.14%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Hugo Gaston - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Moise Kouame - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Jakub Paul - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Felix Balshaw - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Etienne Donnet - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Max Schoenhaus	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Clement Tabur - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Daniel Masur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Lyon
18.10.26	Ugo Blanchet - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	✺
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Mika Brunold	✺

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide