Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Matteo Martineau		Tristan Schoolkate

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Matteo Martineau
33.5%

Tristan Schoolkate
66.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Martineau is ranked ATP: 276., and Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 152..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Martineau may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Schoolkate holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Matteo Martineau - Cesar Bouchelaghem	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Borna Gojo - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Max Schoenhaus - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Gijs Brouwer - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Matisse Bobichon - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Anton Matusevich - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Marek Gengel - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
16.10.26	Matteo Martineau - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	✺

Matteo Martineau - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide