Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Matteo Martineau		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	4.33	1.2
	4	1.22
	4.1	1.2	Watch
	4.55	1.21
	4.35	1.21	Watch
	4	1.22
	4.38	1.22	Watch
	4.1	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.46)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Martineau
22.3%

Yannick Hanfmann
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

72.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Martineau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matteo Martineau's form might have worsened.

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yannick Hanfmann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matteo Martineau - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: Yannick Hanfmann will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yannick Hanfmann will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martineau is ranked ATP: 282. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 137.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hanfmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hanfmann is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Martineau
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Pierre Delage - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Titouan Droguet - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Matteo Martineau - Tung-Lin Wu	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Matteo Martineau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Ignacio Buse - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.25	Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Taro Daniel - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL

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