Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Hugo Gaston		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.28	1.56	Watch
	2.31	1.63
	2.32	1.58	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.1)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
40.3%

Yannick Hanfmann
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 82. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 131.

Gaston is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hanfmann is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hanfmann will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gaston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Yannick Hanfmann - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	David Goffin - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Adelaide
04.01.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston	2:1
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston	2:1
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.23	Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2
ATP Challenger
14.09.21	Yannick Hanfmann - Hugo Gaston	2:1

Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide