Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday


	Sebastian Ofner		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.94)	2.15 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
56.4%

Yannick Hanfmann
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yannick Hanfmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yannick Hanfmann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Ofner (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Ofner will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Ofner (votes: 10 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 143. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 125.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hanfmann may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ofner will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Billy Harris - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLW
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Taro Daniel - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Hugo Gaston - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
24.08.22	Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.19	Sebastian Ofner - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2
ATP Challenger
14.08.17	Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Ofner	0:2

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