Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Blake Ellis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.63
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.21)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
41.4%

Blake Ellis
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Matthew Dellavedova - Blake Ellis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 448. Ellis is ranked ATP: 502.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dellavedova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ellis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dellavedova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Colin Sinclair - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Bekkhan Atlangeriev - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Xing Dao Chen - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Matthew Summers - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW
- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Blake Ellis - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Linang Xiao - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Blake Ellis - Justin Boulais	Ellis B. Retired ✺
04.04.26	Liam Broady - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.11.23	Blake Ellis - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0

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