Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Blake Ellis		Mikhail Kukushkin

	1	2
	4.01	1.26
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.49	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.78)	1.26 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
25.3%

Mikhail Kukushkin
74.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blake Ellis's form might have worsened.

Mikhail Kukushkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikhail Kukushkin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blake Ellis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blake Ellis - Mikhail Kukushkin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 531. Kukushkin is ranked ATP: 283.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kukushkin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kukushkin is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Linang Xiao - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Blake Ellis - Justin Boulais	Ellis B. Retired ✺
04.04.26	Liam Broady - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Ognjen Milic - Blake Ellis	Milic O. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Blake Ellis - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?L?W
- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Jie Cui - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Daniil Glinka - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Edas Butvilas - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Blake Ellis - Mikhail Kukushkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide