Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Jake Delaney		Carl Emil Overbeck

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.43
	2.30	1.56	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.09)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jake Delaney
35.1%

Carl Emil Overbeck
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jake Delaney's form might have worsened.

Carl Emil Overbeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carl Emil Overbeck's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jake Delaney, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carl Emil Overbeck than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carl Emil Overbeck, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jake Delaney - Carl Emil Overbeck Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Delaney (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Delaney is ranked ATP: 461. Overbeck is ranked ATP: 649.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Overbeck will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jake Delaney - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jake Delaney
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Jake Delaney - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Jake Delaney - Finn Bass	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Jake Delaney - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Jake Delaney - Mees Rottgering	Rottgering M. retired ✺
10.11.25	Rio Noguchi - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWL?W
- Carl Emil Overbeck
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Alexander Klintcharov - Carl Emil Overbeck	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Carl Emil Overbeck - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW

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