Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Tamworth, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tamworth 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Matthew Dellavedova		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.46	2.50
	1.36	2.35	Watch
	1.42	2.80
	1.41	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	2.57 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
64.4%

Naoki Nakagawa
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Matthew Dellavedova - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 250., and Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 664..

Dellavedova has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Nakagawa shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Dellavedova may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Dellavedova is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dellavedova in today's match, at odds of 1.42.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Dellavedova has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.5%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Hayden Jones	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Martin Borisiouk - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Egor Pleshivtsev - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Arthur Weber - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Matthew Dellavedova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Oliver Anderson - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Jerry Roddick	Canceled ✺
05.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Kuan-Yi Lee	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryota Tanuma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 W?WWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Isaac Becroft	✺

Matthew Dellavedova - Naoki Nakagawa