Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo 3, hard - Final

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Sanhui Shin

	1	2
	1.57	2.20
	1.45	2.55
	1.6	2.37
	1.51	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.3
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.81)	2.34 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
60.2%

Sanhui Shin
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matthew Dellavedova's performance.

Sanhui Shin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanhui Shin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matthew Dellavedova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanhui Shin than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sanhui Shin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matthew Dellavedova - Sanhui Shin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 339. Shin is ranked ATP: 449.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Shin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.21%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Saki Tange	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL
- Sanhui Shin
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Sanhui Shin - Kasidit Samrej	2:1 ✺
02.07.26	Omar Jasika - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Sora Fukuda - Sanhui Shin	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Kousuke Ogura - Sanhui Shin	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Sanhui Shin - Dong Ju Kim	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

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