Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Matthew Dellavedova		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.60	1.44
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.68	1.41	Watch
	2.6	1.43
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)	1.43 (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Dellavedova
35.4%

Andre Ilagan
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Andre Ilagan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matthew Dellavedova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andre Ilagan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Matthew Dellavedova - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dellavedova will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ilagan will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 270., and Ilagan is ranked ATP: 184..

In recent outings, Dellavedova has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ilagan is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dellavedova may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ilagan holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Dellavedova has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Andre Ilagan - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.07%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Fajing Sun - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Hunter Heck	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Enzo Aguiard	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Chengdu
22.09.26	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Bryce Nakashima - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Hugo Gaston - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0

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