Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Florence - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Florence 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matthew Donald		Javier Barranco Cosano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.40
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
59.8%

Javier Barranco Cosano
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Javier Barranco Cosano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Javier Barranco Cosano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Matthew Donald - Javier Barranco Cosano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 418., and Barranco Cosano is ranked ATP: 577..

Donald has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Barranco Cosano have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Barranco Cosano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Donald is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.68%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Matthew Donald - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Matthew Donald	Tabacco G. Retired ✺
16.10.26	Alexander Weis - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Matthew Donald - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	Oradini G. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 W?WW?
- Javier Barranco Cosano
ATP Challenger
18.10.26	Jacopo Landini - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2
11.10.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
05.10.26	Nicolas Barrientos - Javier Barranco Cosano	Barrientos N. Retired ✺
04.10.26	Hugo Maia - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLL?W

Matthew Donald - Javier Barranco Cosano

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald - Javier Barranco Cosano Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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