Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - Final

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Giorgio Tabacco		Matthew Donald

	1	2
			Watch
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.56)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giorgio Tabacco
35.4%

Matthew Donald
64.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giorgio Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Matthew Donald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giorgio Tabacco than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Giorgio Tabacco - Matthew Donald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabacco is ranked ATP: 700., and Donald is ranked ATP: 418..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Donald is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Donald in today's match, at odds of 1.42.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tabacco has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giorgio Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Branko Djuric	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Fausto Tabacco - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Matteo Sciahbasi	2:1 ✺
08.10.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL
- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Alexander Weis - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Matthew Donald - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	Oradini G. Retired ✺
13.10.26	Matthew Donald - Marco Furlanetto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Matthew Donald - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1
ITF Tournaments
27.06.25	Giorgio Tabacco - Matthew Donald	0:2

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