Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Matthew Donald		Jonas Forejtek

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.40
	2.85	1.37
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.43
	2.66	1.40	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.5)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Donald
33.9%

Jonas Forejtek
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Jonas Forejtek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Matthew Donald - Jonas Forejtek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donald is ranked ATP: 418., and Forejtek is ranked ATP: 343..

In recent outings, Donald has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Forejtek is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Donald could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Forejtek for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Forejtek in today's match, at odds of 1.32.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Donald - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.87%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Jonas Forejtek - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.13%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
14.10.26	Matthew Donald - Giovanni Oradini	Oradini G. Retired ✺
13.10.26	Matthew Donald - Marco Furlanetto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Matthew Donald	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Matthew Donald - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Matthew Donald	Giustino L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 ?WLW?
- Jonas Forejtek
ITF Tournaments
14.10.26	Gabriele Crivellaro - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Michele Mecarelli - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Jonas Forejtek - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Jonas Forejtek - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Michele Ribecai - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Donald
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Alexander Weis - Matthew Donald	✺

Matthew Donald - Jonas Forejtek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide