Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Matthew Forbes		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	2.55	1.45
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.56
	2.48	1.49	Watch
	2.55	1.52
	2.56	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.93)	1.48 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matthew Forbes
36.7%

Bernard Tomic
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matthew Forbes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Forbes than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Matthew Forbes - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Forbes is ranked ATP: 939. Tomic is ranked ATP: 206.

Forbes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tomic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Forbes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tomic is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matthew Forbes
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Sebastian Gorzny	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Aniss Rafiq	Rafiq A. Retired ✺
12.07.26	Alafia Ayeni - Matthew Forbes	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?WL
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	James McCabe - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Darwin Blanch - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Bernard Tomic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLW?

Matthew Forbes - Bernard Tomic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide