Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Atlanta (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.85
	2.01	1.84	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.3)	1.82 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
47.7%

Aleksandar Vukic
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mattia Bellucci - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Vukic will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukic: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vukic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vukic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Atlanta
21.07.24	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Denis Yevseyev - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Mattia Bellucci - Ben Shelton	2:3 ✺
27.06.24	David Goffin - Mattia Bellucci	1:3 ✺
26.06.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Newport
19.07.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Christopher Eubanks	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
01.07.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Ofner	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

Mattia Bellucci - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide