Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Bernabe Zapata Miralles		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	3.4	1.3
	3.1	1.33
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.36
	3.2	1.37
	3.25	1.33
	3.18	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.25)	1.33 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernabe Zapata Miralles
29.3%

Mattia Bellucci
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernabe Zapata Miralles's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernabe Zapata Miralles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zapata Miralles is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bellucci is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernabe Zapata Miralles
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Dane Sweeny - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Federico Arnaboldi	Zapata Miralles B. retired ✺
15.06.24	Sumit Nagal - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:1 ✺
14.06.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 W?LWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Mattia Bellucci - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Richard Gasquet - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Mattia Bellucci - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Mattia Bellucci - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW

Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide