Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Adam Walton		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.91	1.80	Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.87	1.89	Watch
	1.87	1.82	Watch
	1.98	1.85
	1.86	1.82	Watch
	1.89	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.04)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adam Walton
49.2%

Mattia Bellucci
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adam Walton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1%)

Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Walton is ranked ATP: 97., and Bellucci is ranked ATP: 91..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Walton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Walton has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Adam Walton - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adam Walton
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Adam Walton - Moise Kouame	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Adam Walton - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Adam Walton - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Valentin Royer - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Yibing Wu - Adam Walton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Mattia Bellucci - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Mattia Bellucci	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2
ATP Atlanta
21.07.24	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	1:2

Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide