Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Max, Max
Bulgaria	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Finland	Max
Hungary	Max
Netherlands	Max
Norway	MAX
Romania	Max
Sweden	Max


	Mattia Bellucci		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	2.5	1.53
	2.4	1.56
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.44	1.62
			Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.48	1.62	Watch
	2.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.46)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
39%

Cameron Norrie
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Mattia Bellucci - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). Norrie will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrie: 63.2% – 91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cameron Norrie will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 73. Norrie is ranked ATP: 61.

Bellucci is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Norrie has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Norrie could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Jiri Lehecka - Mattia Bellucci	0:3 ✺
30.06.25	Mattia Bellucci - Oliver Crawford	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.25	Billy Harris - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Mattia Bellucci - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Mattia Bellucci - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
30.06.25	Cameron Norrie - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Billy Harris - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Cameron Norrie - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Mattia Bellucci	1:2

Mattia Bellucci - Cameron Norrie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide