Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: All England Club (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	14:00	Max, Max
Bulgaria	15:00	Max
Czech Republic	14:00	Max
Finland	15:00	Max
Hungary	14:00	Max
Netherlands	14:00	Max
Norway	14:00	MAX
Romania	15:00	Max
Sweden	14:00	Max


	Cameron Norrie		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.43	1.53
	2.59	1.56
			Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.43	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.57)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
38.7%

Francis Tiafoe
61.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	0%	69.6%

Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Norrie will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrie (votes: 3 - 50%). Tiafoe (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 61. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 12.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tiafoe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrie won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Cameron Norrie - Roberto Bautista-Agut	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Billy Harris - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Cameron Norrie	Canceled ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Cameron Norrie - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
02.06.25	Cameron Norrie - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WL?LL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
25.06.25	Christopher Eubanks - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP London
16.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Cameron Norrie	2:0
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.23	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	2:1
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.23	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Delray Beach
11.01.21	Francis Tiafoe - Cameron Norrie	1:2
ATP Hopman Cup
02.01.19	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe