Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Mattia Bellucci		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.36	3
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.39	3.06
	1.4	3.06
	1.36	3
	1.34	3.26	Watch
	1.32	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)	3.1 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
69.6%

Duje Ajdukovic
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mattia Bellucci's performance.

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duje Ajdukovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duje Ajdukovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97%	0%	3%

Mattia Bellucci - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.55% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Bellucci is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajdukovic is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Richard Gasquet - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
16.06.24	Mattia Bellucci - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Mattia Bellucci - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWW
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Arthur Fery - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	Paul Jubb - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
20.05.24	Calvin Hemery - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

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