The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mattia Bellucci 49.6%
Emilio Nava 50.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mattia Bellucci's form might have worsened.
Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilio Nava's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emilio Nava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Mattia Bellucci - Emilio Nava Predictions
Users Predictions:
Emilio Nava will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bellucci won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.