Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 June 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Anderson B. (Gbr)


	Richard Gasquet		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.84	2
	1.85	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	1.94 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
51.8%

Mattia Bellucci
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richard Gasquet's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richard Gasquet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Richard Gasquet - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bellucci will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gasquet: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gasquet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.24	Richard Gasquet - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Richard Gasquet - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Richard Gasquet - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.24	Richard Gasquet - Jannik Sinner	0:3 ✺
26.05.24	Richard Gasquet - Borna Coric	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
16.06.24	Mattia Bellucci - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Jack Pinnington Jones - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.06.24	Mattia Bellucci - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Gabriel Diallo - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
05.06.24	Brandon Nakashima - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL

Richard Gasquet - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide