Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Mattia Bellucci		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.81	Watch
	1.98	1.85
	1.78	1.94	Watch
			Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.81)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
49.4%

Ethan Quinn
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ethan Quinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Mattia Bellucci - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bellucci will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Quinn will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 65. Quinn is ranked ATP: 81.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Quinn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Tokyo
21.09.25	Mattia Bellucci - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
25.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WL?LW
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Tokyo
21.09.25	Yuta Shimizu - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
17.09.25	Marcos Giron - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Jerome Kym - Ethan Quinn	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jakub Mensik - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW

Mattia Bellucci - Ethan Quinn: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide