Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Mattia Bellucci		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	21	1.02	Watch
	12	1.02
	16	1.01	Watch
	21.04	1.03
	15.98	1.01	Watch
	13	1.02
	9.7	1.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.53 ↑ (15)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
6.1%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.4%

93.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mattia Bellucci - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 65. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Shevchenko	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
16.08.25	Jaime Faria - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?LW?W
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Reilly Opelka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Sinner J. retired ✺
16.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Luca Nardi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.01.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mattia Bellucci	2:0

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