Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	09:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	01:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:00	HBO Max
Brazil	20:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	02:00	HBO Max
Croatia	01:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Denmark	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	02:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
France	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Germany	01:00	Eurosport 1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Hungary	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Moldova	02:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:00	HBO Max
Norway	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Poland	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Portugal	00:00	Eurosport 1
Romania	02:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Serbia	01:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:00	HBO Max
Spain	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Sweden	01:00	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Turkey	02:00	Eurosport 1
United Kingdom	00:00	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+


	Mattia Bellucci		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

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Mattia Bellucci
6.1%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

6.4%

93.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Bellucci is ranked ATP: 65. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bellucci won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Shevchenko	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
16.08.25	Jaime Faria - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?LW?W
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Reilly Opelka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Sinner J. retired ✺
16.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Luca Nardi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?WWW

ITF Tournaments
08.01.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mattia Bellucci	2:0

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
31.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Mattia Bellucci - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia