Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday


	Francisco Comesana		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.77	2.15
	1.78	2.02	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)	2.12 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
55.1%

Mattia Bellucci
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Comesana's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Comesana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Francisco Comesana - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Bellucci will win (votes: 24 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bellucci: 72.7% – 98.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bellucci (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mattia Bellucci will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Comesana (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Bellucci (votes: 15 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 71. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74.

Comesana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bellucci is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Comesana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Francisco Comesana - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Reilly Opelka - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
08.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LW?WL
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
17.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Shevchenko	Shevchenko A. retired ✺
16.08.25	Jaime Faria - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Mattia Bellucci - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 ?WWWL

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