Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Nick Hardt

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.29
	1.54	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	2.24 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
58.5%

Nick Hardt
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Max Alcala Gurri - Nick Hardt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 419. Hardt is ranked ATP: 728.

Alcala Gurri is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hardt's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hardt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri	Giustino L. retired ✺
08.09.25	Franco Agamenone - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Dominik Kellovsky	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WL?LL
- Nick Hardt
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Carles Cordoba - Nick Hardt	Cordoba C. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Nick Hardt - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Nick Hardt - Anton Shepp	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LLWW

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