Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Denis Yevseyev		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.74	1.49
	2.81	1.46	Watch
			Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.29)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
35.4%

Luca Nardi
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	0%	39.1%

Denis Yevseyev - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Nardi will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yevseyev: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 218. Nardi is ranked ATP: 102.

Now both players are in good shape.

Yevseyev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nardi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Nardi to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
08.11.24	Denis Yevseyev - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Denis Yevseyev - Oliver Ojakaar	2:0 ✺
28.10.24	Hamad Medjedovic - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Martin Klizan - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
08.11.24	Luca Nardi - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Luca Nardi - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.11.24	Luca Nardi - Goncalo Oliveira	Oliveira G. retired ✺
30.10.24	Luca Nardi - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Luca Nardi - Javier Barranco Cosano	Nardi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WW?L?

Denis Yevseyev - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide