Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Mackenzie McDonald		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.40	2.75
	1.44	2.65
	1.40	2.88
	1.45	2.91
	1.42	2.79	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.44	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)	2.78 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
66.1%

Roberto Carballes Baena
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mackenzie McDonald will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 144. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 166.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McDonald might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, McDonald won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
06.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Mark Ceban - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Miguel Damas - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0

Mackenzie McDonald - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide