Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Parma, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Sebastian Ofner		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.60	2.20
	1.5	2.4
	1.6	2.47
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	2.32 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
59.8%

Roberto Carballes Baena
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ofner is ranked ATP: 123. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 172.

Recent performances by Ofner have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carballes Baena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ofner might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Ofner - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Roberto Carballes Baena - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Sebastian Ofner - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Sebastian Ofner - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
16.05.26	Sebastian Ofner - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Miguel Damas - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Jesper De Jong - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Raul Brancaccio - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner	Carballes Baena R. retired
ATP Auckland
09.01.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Sebastian Ofner	2:0

Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide