Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: HOUSTON (USA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Max Purcell		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.55	1.3
	3.3	1.29
	3.56	1.34
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	1.82	1.99	Watch
	1.88	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (1.9)	1.47 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
32.6%

Daniel Altmaier
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Max Purcell's form might have worsened.

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Altmaier's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Max Purcell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Altmaier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	0%	83%

Max Purcell - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Altmaier will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 93.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Purcell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Altmaier is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Max Purcell - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Max Purcell - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Max Purcell - Maxime Janvier	Janvier M. retired ✺
30.03.23	Max Purcell - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
28.03.23	Max Purcell - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LW?WW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
09.03.23	Daniel Altmaier - Elmar Ejupovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW

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